The Birth Lottery

Last updated 2025-12-28

You didn't choose the circumstances of your birth; even if it couldn't have been any other way, it was something outside of your control. I expect many of the people who are reading this to be in a rare situation, on Earth: wealthy, educated, living in a democracy, free of easily-treatable disease, and, above all of these, homo sapiens; all for reasons that are, in part, outside of their control. And, so, it's meaningful to say that there's an element of chance to where you ended up; probability is not ontologically fundamental, it's how you quantify what is uncertain and what is outside your control. How else could those elements of chance have went?

Draw again from the birth lottery to take a different sample from the way those circumstances outside your control go for living beings on Earth today.

👤 You

Making such a wheel depends on some assumptions about which things in the world are conscious, and if it's to be used to motivate any decisionmaking, which things on the world count as relevantly part of the world, for the sake of what humans should intervene on. The following settings let you configure which beings to include, and how much those beings relatively matter.

Categories

Moral Weights

What do I do with this information?

The goal of this page is to bring into relief just how much you are likely in one of the best situations of anything sentient that has ever lived in the world (though I, of course, don't know your situation). Most humans in the world live outside of developed countries, and there are more farmed animals than there are humans, and there are more wild animals than there are farmed animals. You are you, and you are in the situation you are in; and it's likely that this situation can be used to help the other sentient life in the world!

Global Health and Development

Givewell evaluates charities that help humans living today. All else equal, it's more effective to help people who are living in developing countries; Givewell estimates that, on average, an extra $3500 spent correctly in developing countries can do the equivalent of saving a life (specifically from vitamin A supplementation reducing the rate of death from infections caused by vitamin A deficiency weakening immune systems), and there's nothing so impactful for sale for $3500 in developed countries; people in developed countries are rich enough that they've already, and the country as a whole is rich enough that the government can tax people enough to pay for this for people who are too poor to pay for it themselves.

Animal Welfare

Animal Charity Evaluators evaluates charities that help nonhuman animals. They focus on helping factory farmed animals and wild animals, which make up the largest populations of animals, while receiving less philanthropic focus.

Data

Many of the values used for animals were based off random guesses and sketchy methodology; there's no omniscient planner who's tracked the population of every being on Earth and then published it online, and some people have made some estimates and I've taken what I can get and dropped an order of magnitude or two here or there. If you have some objections, or better data sources, tell me at tetraspace.west@protonmail.com.